Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 96326.641020 101548.196066 106766.134737 112368.235418 118208.997034 124115.497403 130536.386431
2025-10-26 87138.463304 95071.314504 103217.291064 112196.833724 121806.800565 131772.352253 142877.138001
2025-11-02 80939.715119 90736.155513 101013.024829 112576.257862 125202.614620 138549.304205 153701.947267
2025-11-09 75898.771516 87055.499741 98971.357266 112609.838089 127751.737756 144010.748067 162752.318236
2025-11-16 72566.621374 84901.621967 98281.669851 113822.029081 131321.228852 150362.595383 172593.390462
2025-11-23 68963.127345 82171.440355 96703.690565 113808.986469 133318.560462 154802.643069 180173.626008
2025-11-30 66780.052678 80883.485622 96598.856901 115317.505287 136910.282368 160939.668955 189601.857602
2025-12-07 64558.996101 79407.158903 96150.650828 116315.963304 139823.422020 166239.007652 198039.060178
2025-12-14 61989.770979 77389.391731 94955.021861 116336.112786 141512.021861 170064.676748 204738.161140
2025-12-21 59817.344318 75734.214421 94087.135934 116649.963281 143467.318644 174143.704116 211698.139810
2025-12-28 58566.063005 75111.816171 94379.410854 118282.414821 146935.022725 179965.911739 220697.828147
2026-01-04 57223.640074 74311.975693 94402.395449 119544.545646 149928.961277 185216.742628 229034.066583
2026-01-11 55639.112461 73172.147069 93984.989810 120260.539801 152274.629188 189730.907205 236562.285999
2026-01-18 53891.535814 71768.025059 93192.147293 120474.422858 153982.649004 193472.033386 243178.683765
2026-01-25 52391.948294 70616.973102 92659.712969 120962.723659 155990.912264 197556.226478 250209.984444
2026-02-01 50771.872260 69255.567364 91814.471099 121017.028981 157430.259433 200930.625863 256378.945211
2026-02-08 49836.748410 68730.631957 91982.480566 122306.921936 160378.019328 206137.598871 264794.784410
2026-02-15 48348.230075 67442.599224 91144.309175 122293.974942 161676.868536 209310.914702 270723.694222
2026-02-22 47674.651368 67187.128909 91595.248008 123894.148702 164986.157936 214964.711955 279729.626673
2026-03-01 46797.265359 66632.578597 91637.123318 124953.064827 167604.069666 219766.614803 287704.580713
2026-03-08 45510.856672 65496.974581 90894.353244 124974.441772 168884.816193 222893.780970 293602.414456
2026-03-15 44417.931698 64586.247946 90413.628121 125307.264726 170542.951218 226484.704079 300086.339709
2026-03-22 43961.124410 64514.057854 91015.898376 127038.237782 173992.631837 232339.578158 309441.523449